Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 223.955731 252.122853 283.438574 321.014540 365.111391 415.505011 477.860748
2024-10-20 180.465503 217.044092 261.324784 319.576774 395.246088 491.710442 626.464753
2024-10-27 150.526207 188.489647 236.936894 304.532409 398.438594 527.472349 724.072388
2024-11-03 139.071723 180.384360 235.618286 316.887322 437.032859 614.347126 908.674366
2024-11-10 131.313354 175.591969 237.252278 332.384226 481.247431 716.183696 1139.994116
2024-11-17 120.703491 165.299076 229.429283 332.213385 500.714300 782.033850 1327.403176
2024-11-24 109.617809 153.012108 217.053838 322.944589 503.389000 819.376301 1471.615044
2024-12-01 100.504386 142.693677 206.417912 314.798070 506.166584 856.572377 1624.643276
2024-12-08 96.409706 139.525461 206.384599 323.838809 539.996615 957.315004 1941.534253
2024-12-15 91.284890 134.249258 202.370466 325.401202 560.104249 1034.949911 2231.906359
2024-12-22 85.364958 127.202269 194.757684 319.600584 565.056869 1081.918592 2462.910539
2024-12-29 81.258933 122.752210 191.044249 320.349206 582.918550 1160.373284 2806.600148
2025-01-05 75.826136 115.840553 182.745168 312.009653 581.730352 1197.372724 3054.987664
2025-01-12 72.004129 111.372432 178.354688 310.720223 595.510643 1273.808103 3461.386683
2025-01-19 66.560886 103.773603 167.802604 296.194631 578.033996 1268.516637 3598.187835
2025-01-26 65.403929 103.469637 170.337627 308.121540 622.221563 1434.411452 4428.481148
2025-02-02 64.682672 103.855192 174.136885 323.075366 676.290297 1643.835062 5578.260838
2025-02-09 62.080033 100.695287 170.994661 322.910549 693.372336 1751.106285 6377.492351
2025-02-16 58.631992 95.793179 164.153197 313.967330 686.765286 1784.099359 6854.639520
2025-02-23 55.570473 91.429010 158.061998 306.104985 681.887822 1822.019787 7392.433373
2025-03-02 54.565320 90.804088 159.263350 314.830243 722.966731 2026.191934 9041.277842
2025-03-09 52.850087 88.740437 157.428976 316.337883 744.455725 2169.850500 10498.516892
2025-03-16 50.532230 85.405155 152.785526 310.740200 744.770838 2236.137700 11522.567908